Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.004558 0.004803 0.005054 0.005332 0.005632 0.005944 0.006296
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.004096 0.004455 0.004840 0.005285 0.005788 0.006341 0.006996
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.003784 0.004202 0.004664 0.005214 0.005857 0.006589 0.007491
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003634 0.004106 0.004640 0.005294 0.006079 0.007001 0.008178
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003470 0.003977 0.004561 0.005292 0.006192 0.007276 0.008703
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003311 0.003840 0.004461 0.005253 0.006247 0.007474 0.009131
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003144 0.003684 0.004326 0.005158 0.006222 0.007561 0.009414
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003006 0.003554 0.004215 0.005083 0.006213 0.007662 0.009713
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002918 0.003482 0.004170 0.005088 0.006303 0.007893 0.010193
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002755 0.003309 0.003991 0.004910 0.006141 0.007775 0.010180
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002689 0.003255 0.003960 0.004923 0.006233 0.008002 0.010662
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002678 0.003271 0.004019 0.005055 0.006490 0.008467 0.011516
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002588 0.003182 0.003939 0.004999 0.006485 0.008567 0.011839
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002509 0.003105 0.003871 0.004955 0.006497 0.008689 0.012203
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002427 0.003020 0.003790 0.004890 0.006473 0.008756 0.012482
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002401 0.003010 0.003808 0.004963 0.006649 0.009127 0.013266
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002350 0.002964 0.003775 0.004961 0.006716 0.009334 0.013795
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002290 0.002903 0.003720 0.004925 0.006728 0.009456 0.014188
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002216 0.002821 0.003632 0.004838 0.006659 0.009446 0.014353
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002151 0.002751 0.003559 0.004770 0.006615 0.009471 0.014581
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002114 0.002717 0.003536 0.004774 0.006683 0.009680 0.015142
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.002024 0.002608 0.003403 0.004611 0.006482 0.009440 0.014881
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001994 0.002581 0.003388 0.004622 0.006557 0.009658 0.015468